Growth in the Singapore economy is expected to be slower this year,
reflecting the moderation in the global economy and IT industry, but the
transport engineering and biomedical sectors will be key supports for the
city-state's economy.
Singapore's Monetary Authority said yesterday in its semi-annual macro
economic review that the oversupply in the global IT industry is likely to weigh
on domestic electronics-related industries.
"The current softness in the IT industry appears to be largely a supply-side
phenomenon, arising from the over-estimation of demand on the part of
semiconductor manufacturers," the MAS said, adding that the supply glut is
expected to ease in the latter half of the year.
But the central bank believed other non-IT related industries will provide
support this year. In particular, the transport engineering and biomedical
sectors will be key supports.
"In particular, the transport engineering and biomedical clusters will remain
the two star performers," it said.
In addition, economic activity will also be buttressed by the continued
growth in the services industries, including financial and business services as
well as the tourism-related cluster.
The central bank reiterated its forecast for the economy to grow at 4.5 to
6.5 percent in 2007, down from 7.9 percent recorded last year.
The MAS also estimated that the increase in the Goods and Services Tax (GST)
to 7 percent from current 5 percent from July will raise consumer price index
(CPI) inflation by about 0.5 percent point in this year and next.
However it said that the full extent of the impact will be tempered by other
offsetting fiscal measures.
It reiterated its earlier forecast that this year's CPI inflation will come
in at 0.5 to 1.5 percent, similar to the 1 percent registered last year.