The US Federal Reserve decided yesterday to cut a key interest rate by half a
percentage point to 1.0 percent to prevent the economy from slipping into deep
recession.
The Wednesday's unanimous vote set the rate to the lowest level since 2004,
when the US economy was climbing out of a recession earlier in the decade. The
funds rate has not been lower since 1958, when Dwight Eisenhower was president.
"The pace of economic activity appears to have slowed markedly, owing
importantly to a decline in consumer expenditures," said the Federal Reserve in
a statement.
"Business equipment spending and industrial production have weakened in
recent months, and slowing economic activity in many foreign economies is
damping the prospects for US exports," it warned.
"Moreover, the intensification of financial market turmoil is likely to exert
additional restraint on spending, partly by further reducing the ability of
households and businesses to obtain credit," it added.
However, the Federal Reserve said it expects inflation to moderate in coming
quarters to levels consistent with price stability, "in light of the declines in
the prices of energy and other commodities and the weaker prospects for economic
activity."
The Wednesday's cut followed an emergency half-point cut earlier this month
coordinated with other six major central banks to help cope with the current
financial crisis.
Other central banks might also slash the rates to ease the global credit
crisis. China's central bank, the People's Bank of China (PBOC), cut benchmark
interest rates by 0.27 percent earlier Wednesday.
The European Central Bank and the Bank of England are expected to follow next
week.
"Recent policy actions, including today's rate reduction, coordinated
interest rate cuts by central banks, extraordinary liquidity measures, and
official steps to strengthen financial systems, should help over time to improve
credit conditions and promote a return to moderate economic growth," said the
Federal Reserve in the statement.
It also warned that downside risks to growth remain, hinting that more rate
cuts might be possible.
The Fed will monitor economic and financial developments carefully and "will
act as needed to promote sustainable economic growth and price stability," it
noted.
"It's been an amazing U-turn," said Erik Nielsen, economist with Goldman
Sachs in London. "They've realized inflation is no longer a problem, and now
they're out to save the world."
In a related action, the Federal Reserve also unanimously approved a
50-basis-point decrease in the discount rate to 1.25 percent.
With the US economy still deteriorating, lower rates and other actions by the
Federal Reserve and other US policy makers look like a strong possibility,
according to the US media.
"If the economy weakens further, it may open the door for another 25 or 50
basis points in December," said John Silvia, chief economist at Wachovia Corp.
"This Federal Reserve has been extremely aggressive in terms of providing
liquidity," said Frederic Mishkin, a former Fed governor and now a Columbia
University professor.
Should rates go even lower now, they could hit levels not seen since the
1950s.
However, many economists believe that with rates already so low, the Fed
might decide to hold at 1 percent, leaving some room for a further reduction if
needed next year.