Brokerage's confidence advances market
15/12/2005 9:33
Leo Zhang/Shanghai Daily news
Shanghai stocks rose
yesterday after China's top brokerage expects the country's stock-market value
to jump at least 30 percent next year on an economic boom and on a strengthened
yuan. The Shanghai Composite Index, which covers both yuan-denominated A
shares and hard-currency B shares, gained 0.67 percent to 1,125.39. The
A-share index added 0.67 percent to 1,183.39 and the B-share index grew 0.89
percent to 60.26. "China's securities markets are expected to rebound next
year after a five-year drop," said Wu Zhiguo, a Guohai Securities Co analyst.
"But the broker's (China Galaxy) projection is a bit over-optimistic and I
expect a nearly 10 percent rise for key stock indexes." China Galaxy
Securities Co, the nation's biggest broker by assets, said its estimate was
based on the nation's economic growth, the yuan's appreciation and low
price-to-earnings ratios at domestically listed companies. China's economy
grew 9.4 percent for the first three quarters and in July the government allowed
the yuan to appreciate 2.1 percent against the US dollar. China's stock markets
feature an average PE ratio of 14, compared with 20 times on mature Western
bourses, Galaxy said. China Galaxy expects qualified overseas investors to
step up efforts to apply for quotas and invest in local-currency stocks and
bonds next year. The broker recommends bellwether stocks in such sectors as
consumer products and manufacturing.
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