Economic rise cools to 9.1%
25/10/2004 11:43
Shanghai Daily news
China's economic growth slowed in the third quarter, as government control on
lending and investment took effect. The country's gross domestic product grew
by 9.1 percent in the third quarter, compared with 9.6 percent in the second
quarter, the National Bureau of Statistics reported yesterday. In the first
three quarters, the national economy expanded 9.5 percent to 9,314.4 billion
yuan (US$1,122 billion). Zheng jingping, a National Bureau of Statistics
spokesman, said the government control had curbed over-heated investment and
would help the country achieve stable growth. "The government needs to
tighten its macro-controls and pay attention to improving farmers' income and
solving shortages in energy supply," Zheng said at a State Council news
conference yesterday in Beijing. "That will guarantee healthy and stable
economic growth." He said over-heated investment still existed in some
industries and caused a shortage of energy and raw materials and continual price
rise. Due to large domestic demand, the prices of fuel, energy and raw
materials grew rapidly in the first three quarters. The prices rose 10.8
percent. Fixed-asset investment, which accounts for about half of the
nation's GDP, increased 27.7 percent in the period ending September 30. Yi
xianrong, a Chinese Academy of Social Sciences economist, said the red-hot
property market was the root of the investment craze in the raw material
industries. "Fast growth in property development and investment will make it
difficult to curb investment in the raw material industries such as steel and
cement," Yi said. Property prices rose 13.5 percent from a year earlier in
the first eight months of this year, the fastest since 1996, the statistics
bureau said last month. In the first three quarters, China's consumer price
index, the inflation gauge, rose 4.1 percent from the same period last year. In
September, the index increased 5.2 percent, slightly slower than the 5.3 percent
recorded in August. Rising income helped stoke consumer spending. Per capita
disposable income in urban areas, home to a third of the nation's 1.3 billion
people, rose 7 percent to 7,072 yuan in the first nine months and rural incomes
gained 11 percent to 2,110 yuan. Retail sales increased 14 percent in
September. Yi noted high-flying consumer prices put pressure on the central
bank to raise interest rates. Industrial production grew 17 percent in the
first nine months of the year from the same period of 2003, the government said.
The gain compared with a 17.1 percent increase for the first eight months of the
year. China's passenger car production dropped in September for the first
time since the country joined the World Trade Organization in 2001, declining
7.8 percent from a year earlier, the statistics bureau said. For the whole
year, Jonathan Anderson, UBS's chief Asian economist in Hong Kong, said China's
economy was expected to expand by 9.9 percent in 2004. "The economy is
unlikely to see a hard landing. The growth rate will probably slow to 8.2
percent in 2005," the economist predicted.
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