The Chinese central bank's recent interest rate hike can be interpreted as an
important move to cool the overheated Chinese economy and guide it to a soft
landing, said a China Daily's comment on Wednesday.
The People's Bank of China raised interest rates on loans by financial
institutions to corporations and individuals for the first time in nine years.
The central bank said it aims to restrain an excessive use of funds by
businesses and lead the economy in the direction of sustainable economic growth.
Now that China has emerged as the world's seventh-largest economic power with
year-on-year growth rates approaching double digits, sustainable and steady
growth is essential for the world economy - not to speak of the Chinese economy
itself.
The Chinese Government and the central bank have acted correctly in resorting
to a concrete monetary measure. This is to restrain the excessively robust state
of the Chinese economy in addition to their earlier administrative directives
for less investment in plants and equipment in some industrial sectors, and for
less lending.
The Chinese economy registered an annualized growth rate of 9.1 per cent in
real terms during the July-September quarter - far above the 7 per cent level
considered to be a benchmark for sustainable growth. As year-to-date fixed asset
investment has soared by nearly 30 per cent from a year earlier, the corporate
goods price index of the People's Bank recorded a year-on-year jump of 9.6 per
cent in September, while the consumer price index for the month rose 5.2 per
cent.
The People's Bank kept interest rates unchanged for such a long period out of
concerns that higher rates would have a negative impact on the economy.
The recent increase was a modest one - the benchmark rate on one-year yuan
loans was raised by 0.27 percentage point -prompting some analysts to doubt the
effectiveness of the tight credit policy in cooling the economy.
But the majority reaction was that the People's Bank, overcoming its own
fears about a negative impact, displayed its strong determination to combat
overheating by opting to raise interest rates for the first time since 1995.
Crude oil futures in the West plunged late last week in the wake of the
Chinese interest rate increase, which market participants expect to result in
decreased oil consumption in China due to a slowdown in its economy.
Nevertheless, the effectiveness of the Chinese central bank's move will be
short-lived unless it takes bold new measures. Further interest rate increases
and a stricter hand to rein in investment should be applied.
Can the Chinese economy make a soft landing? The abilities of the Chinese
Government and the People's Bank will be really tested from here on in.