If China National Offshore Oil Corporation (CNOOC) Ltd. successfully merges
with the US oil company Unocal, the astronomical sum of loans in US dollars used
by CNOOC will alleviate the pressure on Chinese yuan's appreciation, observers
said in Beijing Thursday.
CNOOC, China's largest offshore oil and gas producer, announced last week
that it had proposed a merger with Unocal, offering 67 US dollars in cash per
Unocal share.
The 18.5-billion-US dollar offer represents a premium for Unocal's
shareholders of about 1.5 billion US dollars over the value of Chevron
Corporation's offer, based on its closing price on the New York Stock Exchange
(NYSE) at the time.
If CNOOC succeeds, the case will become the largest overseas merging
transaction of Chinese enterprises in history. According to the Beijing-based
China Business Times, CNOOC plans to borrow a total of 16 billion US dollars of
loans from Chinese and foreign financial institutions.
Some 13 billion US dollars of loans will be provided by the Industrial and
Commercial Bank of China and its parent company China Offshore Oil group, with
only 3 billion US dollars of international commercial loans.
As China regulates its capital accounts, any overseas merging deals of
Chinese enterprises will be warranted by the State Administration of Foreign
Exchange (SAFE), so CNOOC, a typical state-owned enterprise, must have received
support from the SAFE for the merger proposal, the paper said.
CNOOC's borrowing of huge amounts of fund in US dollars from the Chinese side
will result in the abatement of 13 billion US dollars in China's official
foreign exchange reserve, analysts say.
In some sense this means the alleviation of current pressure demanding for
the Chinese yuan's appreciation, according to the newspaper.
China's forex reserve surged by as much as 206.7 billion US dollars in 2004
to 609.9 billion dollars by the year-end, second only to Japan, according to
SAFE figures.
The country's fast forex reserve increase has become an excuse of some
countries to demand the appreciation of the Chinese currency. The Chinese
government, however, insisted in keeping the renminbi (RMB) exchange rate
basically stable at a reasonable and balanced level.
The rocketing of China's foreign exchange reserve was attributed to the
increasing surplus in trade and capital flow. Some speculative funds betting on
the yuan's appreciation, or the so-called "hot money," have sneaked into China
under capital accounts or based on no real trade since last year, according to
sources with SAFE.
CNOOC's planned merger with Unocol was hailed because it would result in
capital outflows of 13 billion US dollars if it succeeds,which will help reduced
China's foreign exchange surplus.
The foreign exchange loans in enormous sums will also help reduce the risks
for Chinese financial organizations, because if China really appreciates its
currency, the outflow of US-dollar capital will reduce the losses of the Chinese
side for holding US-dollar assets, experts say.