Housing prices start to slow
14/2/2004 11:31
Shanghai Daily news
New housing prices in Shanghai
rose at the slowest rate in 18 months last month, indicating that the galloping
property market is likely to brake this year. The benchmark of the city's new
housing prices, the Shanghai Housing Index, grew 0.45 percent in January, the
Shanghai Real Estate Index Office reported yesterday. By comparison, the
index rose 33 percent in 2003. Excluding seasonal adjustment during the
Chinese lunar New Year, growth in the city's new apartment market slowed last
month, the report said. "Most developers chose to rest during the Spring
Festival holidays after achieving lucrative profits last year," said He
Xiaocheng, a researcher at the Shanghai Real Estate Index Office. "Some new
residential projects also had slower sales during the period." In addition,
some investors are waiting for definite rules on real estate trading and are
choosing to sit tight at the moment, He said. The Shanghai government is
drafting restrictions on uncompleted housing transfers. The approaching rule has
curbed trading in the sector. Tan Baiqiang, general manager of Shanghai
Centaline Property Agency Co Ltd, said the government's new rule will probably
put limit on apartment trading within one year of the pre-sale contract being
signed. "In the short term, that policy may lower prices of uncompleted
apartments on the second-hand market," Tan said. "Some home owners are cashing
out to avoid possible financial risks." The unified property tax, which is
also in the pipeline, has restrained some investment, as it will raise
investors' management costs. Centaline forecast moderate growth for the whole
year. Shanghai's real estate market has been surging for more than three
years since November 2000. Prices and investment volume have both reached a high
level, which poses risks for investors, said Zhang Hongming, a real estate
expert at the Shanghai Academy of Social Sciences. Zhang said the
ever-growing new housing supply has caused a decline in prices and rentals of
existing apartments and cut investors' profit margins. According to an
independent report from Centaline, prices of existing mid- and high-end
apartments fell 1.96 percent to 8,282 yuan (US$998) a square meter last month.
Pudong and Hongkou districts had the largest adjustment in trading during the
period. Among the 166 residential projects tracked, those priced below 5,000
yuan a square meter were most active in the past month, the report said. Also
catering to the city's wage earners, budget homes of a total 9 million square
meters will hit the market in three years. The large amount of apartments
priced between 3,000 to 3,500 yuan is expected to ease demand from families at
economic disadvantage.
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