'Hot-money' alarm sounded
12/3/2005 14:31
In a rare, stern warning, China's foreign exchange chief Guo Shuqing told
local governments yesterday to avoid encouraging "hot-money" investments from
foreign sources. Regulators have been playing down the effects of speculative
inflows, but Guo said the country might see "no end of trouble" unless local
governments understand the risks of soaking up foreign funds
"haphazardly." "China is paying great attention to speculative funds," Guo,
director of the State Administration of Foreign Exchange, said in an interview
on the sidelines of the annual session of the National Committee of the Chinese
People's Political Consultative Conference, China's top advisory
body. "Foreign exchange administration departments and other macroeconomic
agencies are investigating the issue and will punish illegal activities
severely." Foreign exchange reserves jumped by US$206.7 billion last year
alone. Guo said the overall inflow of capital is "normal and legal" and reflects
the "market scenario," but he also pointed to the existence of some "worrisome"
problems. He said improper foreign investment has been used to purchase
renminbi-denominated assets and commercial housing for speculative purposes,
anticipating that China will eventually bow to international pressure and allow
its currency to appreciate. The foreign exchange administration found that
some overseas people have bought dozens of apartments in China's coastal cities
- "obviously not for their own residential purposes," he said. The "hot
money" pushed housing prices to very high levels, making the cities look
"prosperous" but actually harming the investment climate by creating higher
living and business costs. The cash inflow presents a serious threat, in
Guo's view. Should the situation lead to a real estate bubble that bursts,
financial institutions, enterprises and even individuals will suffer from huge
losses, he explained. Guo emphasized that every locality and foreign-funded
enterprise is obliged to abide by the rules of the foreign exchange
administration. "Capital inflow is an important part of China's overseas
economy. We hope everyone involved will join hands with us to restrain
speculative capital," he said. Guo also reported that outstanding foreign
debts surged 18 percent year-on-year to US$228.6 billion dollars at the end of
last year. He said the country's foreign exchange reserves, which reached
U$609.9 billion at the end of 2004, second only to Japan - are sufficient to pay
the debts. A massive foreign exchange reserve has long been an excuse used by
some countries, especially the United States, to demand appreciation of the
yuan, which now floats against the US dollar within a narrow band, according to
economists. Premier wen Jiabao reiterated in his government work report on
Saturday that China, however, will keep the yuan "basically stable" while
pledging to improve the exchange rate mechanism. Also yesterday, a deputy to
the National People's Congress, which is also in annual session, said China
should map out special regulations to prevent money laundering as soon as
possible. "The fight against dirty money will advance economic development
and social stability," said Zhao Peng, director of the Gansu Province branch of
the Industrial and Commercial Bank of China, China's biggest commercial
bank. China's central bank is giving priority to collecting and analyzing
information on suspicious bank transactions. "The inspection covers a narrow
area and has not proven effective," Zhao said. China badly needs a
supervision system that covers all three leading financial sectors - banking,
securities and insurance, he said.
Xinhua
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