Acting Israeli Prime Minister Ehud Olmert sits next to Prime Minister
Ariel Sharon's empty chair during an emergency cabinet meeting in Jerusalem,
January 5, 2006. Olmert, deputy prime minister and finance minister, was made
acting premier after Sharon has been in the hospital to undergo surgery from
which medical experts have warned he may not recover.
(Xinhua/Reuters)
Israeli Prime Minister Ariel Sharon addresses the media during a news
conference upon his release from hospital in Jerusalem December 20, 2005.
(Xinhua)
Ariel Sharon's massive stroke threw Israeli politics and Mideast peacemaking
efforts into turmoil, threatening momentum for a deal with the Palestinians and
enhancing the position of hard-liners.
The Israeli prime minister broke away from the Likud Party of Benjamin
Netanyahu in November, and the new centrist party he formed had been the
favorite to win March 28 elections. But Kadima was largely a one-man show which
would have an uncertain future without the 77-year-old Sharon.
Medical experts said the chances are slim for Sharon to make a full recovery
from the sort of massive stroke he suffered Wednesday.
In recent months, many Israelis have placed high hopes on Sharon as the
politician best positioned to draw Israel's final borders in a settlement with
the Palestinians.
The prime minister¡ªonce his country's foremost champion of Jewish
settlement-building in the West Bank and Gaza¡ªin September became the first
Israeli leader to relinquish land the Palestinians claim for a future state when
he led Israel out of the Gaza Strip.
Sharon's transformation from hawk to pragmatist¡ªcombined with last year's
death of longtime Palestinian leader Yasser Arafat¡ªhas given the Middle East a
chance for a return to peacemaking after five years of relentless bloodshed.
In March, Sharon had been expected to face off against Netanyahu, the
tough-talking former prime minister who recently won the Likud primaries, and
Amir Peretz, the union leader who recently unseated veteran Israeli politician
Shimon Peres as head of the liberal Labor Party.
None of Sharon's possible successors were seen as having his ability to pull
together the next ruling coalition.
Sharon's deputy, former Jerusalem mayor Ehud Olmert, has already taken over
the reins of power after the stroke and could emerge as Sharon's successor
heading the Kadima, or Forward, party.
Olmert, although a familiar face in Israeli politics, would likely have a far
tougher time beating either Netanyahu or Peretz than Sharon would have.
After losing to Peretz in the Labor primaries, Peres, a Nobel Peace Prize
laureate, joined Sharon in Kadima, and it was not clear if he would seek
leadership of the new party. The 82-year-old Peres, though serving briefly as
prime minister three times, has never won an Israeli election outright and lost
to Netanyahu in 1996.
At the time of his stroke, Sharon was still in the process of coming up with
a list of candidates to run under the Kadima banner. Now both Kadima's
parliamentary lineup and its electoral future have been thrown into question.
Sharon had indicated that he expected significant progress toward peacemaking
in 2006, despite continued violence and growing chaos in the Palestinian
territories. Nonetheless, no major peace moves had been expected until after the
Israeli elections in March and Palestinian parliamentary elections scheduled for
Jan. 25.
Though Sharon made history by pulling Israeli troops and civilians out of the
Gaza Strip and part of the West Bank, most Palestinians regard the ex-general as
an enemy because of his bloody military campaigns against Palestinian guerrillas
in Lebanon, Jordan and elsewhere.
Sharon's exit from the political stage would scramble Israeli politics but
also redraw personal relations that are key to Mideast diplomacy.
Sharon and President Bush forged close ties after a rough beginning and the
Israeli leader has been a frequent visitor at the White House. Bush warmly
embraced Sharon's withdrawal from Gaza and backed his tough policy against
Palestinian militants, echoing Sharon's demand that the Palestinians take steps
to stop attacks on Israel.