The White House is studying options for military strikes against Iran as part
of a broader strategy of coercive diplomacy to pressure Tehran to abandon its
alleged nuclear program, the Washington Post reported yesterday.
No attack appears likely in the short term, and many specialists inside and
outside the U.S. government harbor serious doubts about whether an armed
response would be effective. But administration officials are preparing for it
as a possible option, the Post quoted an unidentified senior official as saying.
According to current and former officials, Pentagon and CIA planners have
been exploring possible targets, such as the uranium enrichment plant at Natanz
and the uranium conversion facility at Isfahan, Iran.
Although a land invasion is not contemplated, military officers are weighing
alternatives ranging from a limited airstrike aimed at key nuclear sites, to a
more extensive bombing campaign designed to destroy an array of military and
political targets.
U.S. President George W. Bush views Tehran as a serious menace that must be
dealt with before his presidency ends, his aides said, and the White House, in
its new National Security strategy, last month labeled Iran the most serious
challenge to the United States posed by any country.
Many military officers and specialists, however, view the saber-rattling with
alarm. A strike at Iran, they warn, would at best just delay its nuclear program
by a few years but could inflame international opinion against the United
States, particularly in Islamic nations, while making U.S. troops in Iraq
targets for retaliation.
"My sense is that any talks of strike is the diplomatic gambit to keep
pressure on others that if they don't help solve the problem, we will have to,"
said Kori Schake, who worked on Bush's National Security Council staff and
teaches at the U.S. Military Academy at West Point, New York.
Others believe that it is more than bluster. "The Bush team is looking at the
viability of airstrikes simply because many think airstrikes are the only real
option ahead," said Kurt Campbell, a former Pentagon policy official.