Thailand's business sector anticipates short-term negative impact from the
coup d'etat, but the economic direction should be clearer with diminishing
divisiveness in society and that should be in favor of local and foreign
investors, according to the web edition of local newspaper the Nation.
Charlotte Dhonavanik, first senior executive vice president at the Bank of
Ayudhya, said that from the Administrative Reform Council's (ARC) first
announcement, things seem to be wrapped up in a quick manner.
"There should be no violence, unlike in previous incidents. Once it's clear,
this should not affect foreign investor confidence," she said.
A banker who asked not to be named wanted the Administrative Reform Council
to make clear who was going to run key ministries especially the economic ones.
"In previous coups, the list of economic ministers were announced. If the
reform group could come up with the list, this should restore confidence in the
economic sector," he said.
Dusit Nontanakorn, secretary general of the Thai Chamber of Commerce, said
last night it was too soon to comment on this incident, but the chamber was
closely monitoring the situation.
"I still hope other countries would understand what happens here and the
situation should return to normal in the short term," he said.
A stock analyst expected retail local investors to unload their shares today
on panic selling, but it was unlikely foreign investors who had bought into Thai
stocks recently would sell.
"Naturally, a coup is not good for the economic environment. But now it's
clear that the ARC has no intention to be the absolute power controller and it
will push for the election. This should calm investors, aside from the fact that
with the emergence of the reformist group, the economy is headed towards a
clearer path," the analyst noted.
Somchai Phakapaswiwat, a political science lecturer at Thammasat University,
noted the coup would return peace to society after a year of divisiveness.
"We should expect the formation of an interim government, which should be in
power for about a year.
"Once the election is held, the economy should be back to normal," he noted.