Hotspots in Africa turn cooler in 2005
28/12/2005 14:59
Long-time hotspots in Africa's war- torn regions cooled down considerably in
2005, and political stability in volatile places as Liberia has helped to bring
the impoverished continent back to economic growth, restoring hope in its
people. Optimists might praise Africans for their own efforts to resolve
their own problems, as witnessed in the crisis of Togo, while insecurity in
Somalia and stalemate in Sudan's Darfur nevertheless evidence the lurking
phantom of conflicts and feuds. Albeit uncertainties in Africa's security
map, the continent has started to reflect on ways to achieve swifter economic
turnaround, and evidences are that a better year in 2006 is already around the
corner. FEWER CONFLICTS The first positive sign emerged in January, as the
Sudanese government and southern rebel leader signed a comprehensive peace
agreement, concluding an eight-year process to stop a civil war in the south,
which has cost more than 2 million lives since 1983. After establishing a
transitional federal government in Nairobi in last October, the lawless Horn of
Africa nation, Somalia, in June relocated the administration to temporary base
of Jowhar. Although factions inside the government still feud with each other
and pirates terrorize the seas off its coast, the relocation is still a
significant step towards the end of a 14-year civil war between various factions
and clans. Most Burundians have the reason to believe their country is on the
path to peace after a series of polls culminated in Pierre Nkurunziza's election
and inauguration in August, under a UN- backed plan to end ethnic civil war that
has killed 300,000 people since 1993. The only remaining rebels, the roughly
3,000-strong Forces for National Liberation, have also expressed the willingness
to talk peace with the new government of the tiny central African nation. The
west African nation Liberia also followed the steps of peace as Ellen
Johnson-Sirleaf was elected the first postwar president in November's elections,
14 years after the civil wars, which killed 200,000 people and left a once
prosperous country in shatters. The international observers declared the
voting free and fair and Johnson-Sirleaf is scheduled to be sworn in in January.
GOING HOME For many Africans, peace has brought hope. Refugees are returning
home, peasants can plant crops without fear that they will be destroyed by
passing armies. People can travel around their country without fear of being
caught in the crossfire. "Twelve years have passed since I left my home,"
said former Burundian refugee Rurekana Bernard after returning home from
Tanzania in August. "There's nowhere better than at home and I'm tired of being
refugee." "Now, there is no reason I should not go back home, because there
is peace in my country," the old man in dirty clothes said with a smile. "Peace
is the uttermost important thing." Bernard was among the 885 Burundi refugees
who, with the assistance of the UN refugee agency, UNHCR, transported from the
refugee camps in Tanzania, back to their mother land on August 25 when the first
postwar president was sworn in. According to the UNHCR, more than 250,000
refugees have returned to Burundi until then, and as the repatriation process
went on smoothly, about 245,000 refugees more, will be back gradually by the end
of 2006. The UNHCR is also assisting Sudanese who wish to return to their
villages after a January peace agreement in southern Sudan which ended 21 years
of civil war that displaced four million people and made refugees of another
500,000. "In spite of the few services available after two decades of war --
poor roads, limited health care facilities and schools -- many refugees have
told us they still wish to go back to their homeland," said the UNHCR. HOW LONG
IS PEACE TO LAST Some wars ended because the combatants were exhausted. Other
wars ended because of successful diplomacy. Outside military intervention has
also helped to calmed a few troublespots. But one grave worry remains. Even
in countries in peace, if the underlying causes of conflict are not properly
addressed, the specter of war is never too far away. Studies show that civil
wars are more likely to occur in countries with bad governance, stagnant
economies and lots of valuable minerals, and some argued, several wars that seem
to have been extinguished are in fact only waiting to re-ignited. "There will
be no sustainable peace in Africa as long as poverty, bad political leadership
and the many unviable states continue to exist," said Katumanga Musambayi, a
political scientist based in Kenya. "People will rise to resist the bad
governance, so some conflicts are rooted in the strive for human rights and
attempts to end marginalization," he told Xinhua in a recent interview, adding
that if the critical subjective factor of leadership is not addressed, conflicts
will continue to emerge. Katumanga believed currently, most conflicts are
rooted in the crisis of resource distribution and allocation as state leadership
in most parts of the continent is in the hands of self seeking elite that
practices politics of exclusion. "What could help build peace in Africa lies
largely with the African people and the emergence of an inward looking
pro-people leadership," he said. "A new leadership has to emerge and he must
seek to take advantage of and add value to the resources, seek technology, build
infrastructure and demand better terms of trade," he added. He also argued
regional integration and a shift in foreign policy engagements is critical to
help Africa. African states should seek to engage emerging powers for meaningful
partnership in order to access technology and infrastructure in exchange for
resources. Katumanga said the best way for the outside world to help Africa
is "to build continent-wide infrastructure, cancel debt, repatriate stolen
wealth, open markets to African countries and transfer technology that can
enable these states to add value to their resources instead of exporting bulky
primary products." AU AND ITS PEACEMAKERS African efforts to resolve their
own problems have grown more serious in the past few years. Formed three
years ago, the African Union (AU) has played an indispensable role in resolving
disputes and maintaining peace in the region, achieving laudable progress in
Cote d'Ivoire crisis and the peacekeeping in the Great Lakes region, and
bringing the Sudanese government and the western Darfur rebels together on peace
talks, although few progress is made in the vast western area of Sudan this
year. Furthermore, Africa's leaders have agreed that a union government was
needed for the poorest continent to hold its own among the world's other
regional blocs, and the continent is already heading toward regional economic
integration. Also, what worth to mention in 2005, are the special efforts
made by the two outstanding peacemakers in Africa: Thabo Mbeki of South Africa
and Olusegun Obasanjo of Nigeria, the presidents of Africa's richest and most
populous nations respectively. Mbeki has worked hard to cajole warring
factions into patching up their differences, with some success in the Democratic
Republic of the Congo (DRC) and Burundi, and he helped to promote an agreement
signed in South Africa between the two rival sides of Cote d'Ivoire. Nigerian
President Olusegun Obasanjo was instrumental in brokering a 2003 peace accord
that officially ended 14 years of Liberian war and he has also acted as a broker
between warring parties in the western Sudanese region of Darfur. As street
battles broke out in Togo in February, after the army illegally install late
president Gnassingbe Eyadema's son as new leader, Obasanjo use his influence to
pressure Gnassingbe junior to step down and hold a presidential election. THORNY
ISSUES IN 2006 In 2006, one of the biggest problems on the continent is still
the Darfur crisis. Rebels began fighting in February 2003 in what they say is
the political and economic marginalization of the region's tribes by the
Khartoum government. Thousands of people have reportedly died and more than two
million others fled their homes. Although delegates at the AU-sponsored peace
talks tried every effort to seek an end to the conflicts, it is believed the
process will be long and torturing as the sides have entered the seventh round
of negotiations. An uneasy stalemate will still be holding in Cote d'Ivoire
as it was split into two since fighting broke out in 2002 between the government
and rebels who control the mostly Muslim north of the west African
country. African mediators have appointed a new prime minister to take charge
of the program for disarming and integrating militias and preparations for
presidential elections in October 2006. The tension between the Horn of
Africa neighbors Eritrea and Ethiopia is another worry in the coming
year. The UN mission was established after a two and an half years border war
between Eritrea and Ethiopia. However, Eritrea recently banned UN helicopter
flights and vehicle movements at night on its side of the buffer zone and it has
demanded the United Nations to withdraw its mission as both countries began
massing troops close to the border. Another eye-catching hotspot in Africa is
the turbulent DRC, as thousands who had fled have returned to register for a
vote scheduled before June 2006. The vote will be the country's first in 45
years. A vast country with immense economic resources, the DRC has once been
at the center of what could be termed Africa's world war between 1998 and 2002,
which claimed an estimated 2.5 million lives. Expressing serious concern
about the continuing hostilities by militias and foreign armed groups in the
eastern part and the threat to elections, the UN Security Council extended the
UN Organization Mission there until next September with an additional 300
troops.
Xinhua news
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