Syrian President Bashar al-Assadon Saturday announced a gradual pullout of
its troops from neighboring Lebanon, which has been described as a hard decision
for Damascus to defuse mounting international pressures against
the country.
"Syrian troops will completely pull back to Bekaa valley in eastern Lebanon
and then to the Syrian-Lebanese border," Assad told the parliament in a speech
in Arabic.
The 14,000 troops would withdraw "as soon as possible" from Lebanon to the
Syrian side of the border, Syrian Expatriates Minister Buthaina Shaaban
explained further.
Lebanon's outgoing Defence Minister Abdel Rahim Mrad confirmed Sunday that
"the redeployment to the Bekaa will start after the meeting of the
Syrian-Lebanese (supreme) council which should take place on Monday in
Damascus."
Syria and Lebanon have kept a close relationship for the past three decades
since Syrian troops entered Lebanon in 1976 to intervene its 1975-90 civil war
under the Taif Accord. The Taif agreement, which was signed between Damascus
andvarious Lebanese groups in 1989, virtually put an end to the Lebanese war and
outlined a gradual pullout of Syrian forces from Lebanon.
As a key power-broker in Lebanon, Syria still maintains 14,000 troops in the
neighboring country after several redeployment in recent years.
But this special relation has been challenged since UN Security Council
resolution 1559 was adopted last September at the initiative of the United
States and France, demanding a pullout of foreign troops from Lebanon.
The call was triggered recently by the assassination of former Lebanese Prime
Minister Rafik al-Hariri on Feb. 14, which Lebanon's opposition accused Syria of
playing a role, a charge denied byDamascus.
Public mourning of Hariri, a major architect of Lebanon'spostwar revival and
opponent to Syria's influence, turned into massprotest that toppled Beirut's
pro-Syrian government this week. The United States has spearheaded efforts to
lead a call for theSyrian pullout, and Germany and Britain were the latest to
join thecamp, urging implementation of UN resolution 1559. Russia, long one of
Syria's best friends, also said the troopsshould go. "Syria should withdraw from
Lebanon, but we all have tomake sure that this withdrawal does not violate the
very fragilebalance which we still have in Lebanon, which is a very
difficultcountry ethnically," said Russian Foreign Minister Sergei Lavrov.
Although Arab foreign ministers meeting in Cairo last Thursdayrefrained from
adding pressure on Syria, it said a Syrian pulloutwas necessary so as to avoid
any foreign intervention in theLebanese affairs.
Under such circumstances, Syria has no way out but to announce pullout from
Lebanon.
"Everybody has a view that the withdrawal is a problem, but thisis the
simplest thing. Syria does not reject the principal ofwithdrawal," Assad told
the parliament, adding the withdrawal ofSyrian troops from Lebanon does not mean
the absence of a Syrianrole in Lebanon.
Although the withdrawal would abate current pressures facing it,Syria sees
substantial risks in case a political and securityvacuum arise in Lebanon after
the troops go.
The absence of Syrian influence in Lebanon may prompt a pro-western
government in that country, which would possibly make peacewith Israel alone.
Thus Syria would lose a strategic card on thenegotiating table with arch-foe
Israel.
There are also economic considerations. Hundreds of thousands ofSyrians,
mainly farmers and construction workers, work in Lebanonfor higher salaries and
the money goes back to Syria. However, if Syria refuse to pull out, it would
confront an evenworse situation, with western and Arab isolations and
possibleinternational sanctions.
The European Union has announced an indefinite delay of ascheduled formal
signature of the Syrian-EU partnership agreement,which was initialed last
October in Brussels after years ofnegotiations.
The worst, nevertheless, would be a US military attack againstthe country,
Syria worries.
"Our announcement to withdraw from Lebanon does not mean a stopof pressures
on us (from western countries)," Assad said. World observers said that the key
question is whether Assad'sspeech will satisfy US President George W. Bush, who
has warned theDamascus government he expects nothing less than a full
pulloutfrom Lebanon.
In fact, Bush, in his latest attack in a Saturday radio address,said Syria
constitutes an obstacle to peace process across theMiddle East.
Echoing the US position, European countries, such as France,Britain and
Germany, were coherent on a full and quick withdrawal. Walid Jumblatt from the
Lebanese opposition welcomed Assad'sSaturday speech as "positive," saying it had
provided the "newvision" that the opposition had demanded.
But "we extend our hand while realizing that there needs to be aclear
timetable," he stressed.