The two latest confirmed cases of human bird flu in Thailand might be
human-to-human transmissions, a senior health official has said.
Dr Charoen Chuchottaworn, a bird-flu expert at the Public Health Ministry's
Department of Medical Services, said doctors concluded after reviewing the
history of the past two cases that both victims presented very mild symptoms of
avian influenza and neither had any physical contact with chickens or birds.
One of the victims was a boy in Bangkok and the other was an 18-year-old man
from Nonthaburi province, The Nation newspaper reported Friday.
This left doctors no clues as to where the patients became infected with the
H5N1 virus and showed that the avian influenza had moved from causing severe
human infection to milder cases.
Charoen, who is also a member of the national committee issuingguidelines for
the treatment of avian influenza, made the remarks Thursday at the Joint
International Tropical Medicine Meeting 2005 in Bangkok.
Dr Kamnuan Ungchusak, director of the Epidemiology Bureau, challenged
Charoen's assertion about human-to-human transmissions.
He told The Nation that while neither of the patients had direct contact with
chickens, they lived in an environment where the virus was prevalent.
"Chickens were dying near their homes and chicken droppings were everywhere
around their neighborhood," he said. "They might have contracted the virus
through contaminated soil."
Dr Charoen said the milder the symptoms, the harder it is for doctors to
diagnose. This means that a lot more advanced laboratory facilities are needed
with a testing technique called RT-PCR to confirm cases and decide if patients
should be treated with antiviral Tamiflu (oseltamivir phosphate).
He said this meant that avian influenza could become asymptomatic now.
The only tool available in Thailand to fight H5N1 infections atthe moment is
insufficient, he said. At present, Thailand has about one million capsules for
100,000 treatments of Tamiflu, but it is estimated that about 120 million
capsules of the drug will be needed.
In the past, only severe cases of human bird flu have been detected in
Thailand simply because patients went to hospital for treatment. But doctors
believe that there have been many cases with mild symptoms of the disease.
"We believe that this is the tip of the iceberg," he said.
Signs of possible human-to-human transmission were closely observed in
Vietnam, where 10 clusters of probable human transmissions were detected in
which the victims had no contact with infected poultry, Charoen said.
Thailand and Indonesia had one official cluster, he said, but the Indonesian
cluster showed clear-cut evidence because a child contracted H5N1 without going
to an infected area, as her father had.