1.Asahi Shimbun£ºHello, I¡¯m from Asahi Shimbun and my questions involve two
aspects. The first one is about the maglev train. Does the maglev project
Shanghai reported to the State Environmental Protection Administration include
the whole line from Shanghai to Hangzhou or just the Shanghai stretch? Is the
project suspended or advanced? Besides, the administration once announced that
it has accepted the environment assessment report on Shanghai maglev project.
Has the administration approved the project? Will its approval indicate the
official start of construction? Will the project be finished before the 2010
Shanghai World Expo? The second one is about the issue over Chen Liangyu. Hong
Kong media has said the Shanghai People¡¯s Congress would discuss whether to
remove Chen as the deputy of the Shanghai People¡¯s Congress at a meeting today.
Is this information true? Has the result been concluded? Thanks.
Jiao Yang£ºWe are following the national authorities¡¯requirements to work on
the Shanghai stretch of the maglev, including deepening preliminary work,
collecting public opinion, optimizing plans, improving works on related projects
and advancing the preliminary work.
Sorry, I¡¯m not authorized to answer the second question. Thanks.
2. Shanghai Morning Post£ºThanks for the spokesperson. I¡¯m a reporter from
Shanghai Morning Post. I have two questions and the first one is about
Shanghai¡¯s real estate market. Some media said that sales volume grew while the
prices have been stable so far this year. Are there figures or reasons to
support this? What is the trend of the city¡¯s property market in the second half
of this year? What rank is the city¡¯s housing price among China¡¯s major cities?
I feel that the published housing price index is lower than expected. Can you
tell me the reason?
I have another two questions about the release report. It said the industrial
profits grew 40.7 percent in the first half of this year, 35.2 percentage points
faster from the same period of last year. Why has growth accelerated so much?
The city¡¯s retail sales rose 14.2 percent to 188.75 billion yuan in the first
half, and the growth was the strongest in a decade. Is the strong growth driven
by the robust stock market? Thanks.
Cai Xuchu£ºYou asked about the reason of¡°growing sales volume and stable
housing prices¡±in Shanghai¡¯s real estate market. The public is concerned about
the property market. Some figures showed that Shanghai¡¯s housing prices in the
first half of this year were stable and sales volume began rebounding, which is
mainly because the city has implemented a string of policies to cool off the
market in the period, especially the¡°three principles.¡±The principles, giving
priority to residences, citizens¡¯consumption and ordinary properties, enhanced
the macro-adjustment of supply and demand of properties. Developers¡¯investments
began rebounding and accounted for a stable percentage of fixed-asset
investments. The sales volume of residences was growing and prices were stable.
The overall supply and demand was balanced in the city except some regional
unbalance between supply and demand.
Specifically, there are three features in Shanghai¡¯s real estate market based
on the statistics. The first one is developers¡¯overall growth has been slowed to
a stable pace. The investments in Shanghai¡¯s property market in the first half
of this year reached 61.96 billion yuan, growing 6.2 percent from a year
earlier. The overall growth slowed and was stable. The investments in residences
hit 39.46 billion yuan, growing 5.2 percent and accounted for 63.7 percent of
total property investments.
The second feature is the accelerated trade in properties. In the first half,
a total of 15 million square meters of properties were traded, growing 25.7
percent from a year earlier and the growth rate was 6.8 percentage points higher
from the same period of last year. The sales of residences reached 13.79 million
square meters, rising 32 percent.
The third feature is shown in the slight single-month growth of housing
prices. On a monthly basis, the price dropped in January, little changed in
February and rebounded in March, but the growth was very slow at about 0.1
percent. The fastest growth was in June at 0.7 percent. Sales prices of
residences inched up 0.3 percent in the first six months from a year earlier on
average. The growth of prices in second-hand residences was a little higher than
that of total homes. The overall monthly growth of second-hand homes gained 1.5
percent, 0.7 percentage point faster than last year.
The faster growth in traded volume in the first half is caused by two
reasons. First, more individuals planned to buy a residence after waiting for
two years of macro-controls. The rigid demands among relocated and married
people still exist. The second reason is that excessive capital flew into the
real estate market, including from the stock market.
The second question is about the rank of Shanghai¡¯s housing price in the
country¡¯s major cities. The National Bureau of Statistics published the housing
prices in 70 major cities yesterday. The average housing price in the first half
grew 6 percent and the price of new residences rose 6.2 percent from a year
earlier. Shanghai¡¯s housing price grew 0.5 percent in the first half from a year
earlier, and the price of new residences rose 0.3 percent, much lower than the
national level.
Generally, Shanghai¡¯s housing price growth was one of the slowest among the
70 cities.
The feeling that the published figure was lower than expected is because the
public are unclear of the constitution of the index. We conducted the statistics
via spot check and key check: selecting representative properties in different
locations and of different types. These samples were combined with new
properties and second-hand properties, whose indexes were a weighted average.
Two reasons caused the gap between the figure people¡°felt¡±and the figure we
announced. The first reason is the samples. We selected the samples from
downtown as well as suburban areas. People were more impressed by the prices in
downtown, which might cause the difference.
Secondly, developers might promote lower-priced properties first and then
expensive ones, so buyers would feel that the housing prices are growing.
However, we eliminated these elements during the survey, so people might feel
the real growth is faster than we announced.
The statistics departments should explain more to the public about their work
and keep improving the statistics methods to make the figures more timely and
accurate to reflect the trend of the real estate market and to better serve the
public.
Industrial profits surged at a rapid 40.7 percent because the profits in last
year¡¯s first half dropped sharply and only gained 5.5 percent, especially auto
profits. Six sectors accounted for a big part of the industrial profits, and the
petrochemical, steel and iron and auto sectors reported strong profit growth
this year.
About the retail sales hitting a new decade high, I have explained in the
previous answers. People earned more money from the robust stock market, which
may drive up retail sales.
3. Wenhui Daily£ºThanks to the spokesperson. I¡¯m a reporter from Wenhui Daily
and I have two questions for Mr. Cai. First, can you tell us the specific
reasons about Shanghai¡¯s achievements in stable, healthy and balanced economic
developments in the first half of this year? Can you estimate the economic
situation in the second half? Secondly, the National Bureau of Statistics
announced China¡¯s gross domestic product in the first half last week, and the
growth rate reached 11.5 percent. The bureau said the economy may become
overheated. What is the status of Shanghai¡¯s economy? Will it also be
overheated? Thanks.
Cai Xuchu£ºWe have published parts of the half-year figures to the media. We
couldn¡¯t reveal the city¡¯s GDP until the National Bureau of Statistics published
the country¡¯s economic figures. Shanghai¡¯s GDP grew 13 percent in the first half
from a year earlier, compared with 12.6 percent in the same period of last year.
The growth hit a new high in three years because of the following reasons.
In terms of manufacturing, growth in Shanghai¡¯s service sector was
accelerated and industrial production was stable, which drove up the city¡¯s
economic growth. The detailed figures have been published.
Secondly, in terms of demands¨Cconsumption demands, investments demands and
export demands all grew evenly. Retail sales grew 14.2 percent, 1.5 percentage
points faster from a year earlier. Investments grew 9.6 percent, which was
slower than many other regions in China with the country¡¯s macro-control. This
means consumption grew faster than investments. The investments led the economy
in earlier years, but from last year, consumption began leading the economy,
especially this year. Our exports grew 20.9 percent, so the 13-percent growth in
the first half was driven by consumption and overseas demand.
In terms of the operation revenue, there are two figures. Our financial
revenue grew 26.6 percent in the first half, which was 21.8 percentage points
higher from the growth of a year earlier. However, last year¡¯s slow growth was
due to the tumbling income in real estate.
Companies¡¯profits grew significantly and the city¡¯s industrial profits jumped
40.7 percent. Among the agriculture, manufacturing and service industries, the
service sector accounted for 51.4 percent of total profits, 0.4 percentage
points higher from a year earlier. The country issued a string of macro-control
policies to secure and promote the economic development in the first half.
The city¡¯s economic growth in the later half of this year will keep pace with
the first half if everything goes smoothly. Changes are most likely to happen in
the service sector, especially the financial and real estate sectors. The
financial sector contributed 18 percent to the city¡¯s first-half growth. If the
stock market and real estate market don¡¯t fluctuate greatly in the later half,
the city can maintain the pace.
Shanghai¡¯s first-half GDP grew 13 percent, faster than the country¡¯s
11.5-percent growth, but it was not the fastest compared with other regions,
especially some provinces in east China which grew 14 percent to 16 percent in
the period. We are facing more pressures on concerns that the economy may
overheat, but it doesn¡¯t mean the economy is overheated. The concern over the
overheated economy is spreading, and we are also studying the problem. We can¡¯t
depend on one figure to decide whether the economy is overheated. Many people
are sensitive to the CPI and feel the growth is too fast. But since 1990, the
economy experienced annual double-digit growth from 1992 to 1995 and 2003 till
now. But the CPI was different in the two periods. From 1992 to 1995, the CPI
grew 14.5 percent annually on average, and even surged 24 percent in the peak
year, but in the recent four years, the average CPI grew below three percent. So
we are facing heavier pressures when judged whether the economy is overheated.
4. NIKKEI£ºI¡¯m from NIKKEI and have several questions. The first one, would
you please provide the energy consumption for every 10,000 yuan of GDP in the
first half of this year? Secondly, could you tell me the per capita GDP in the
first half? Thirdly, which country or region invested the most in China in the
first half of this year and how much did they invest? Thanks.
Cai Xuchu: I feel sorry that I can¡¯t tell you the energy consumption for
every 10,000 yuan of GDP in the first half of this year now because according to
the National Bureau of Statistics and the National Development and Reform
Commission, the figure can¡¯t be published until it is verified. We just
published the figure of 2006 and the first-half figure may be revealed after the
third quarter of this year. We calculate the per capita GDP annually because we
haven¡¯t the half-year population. So the annual per capita GDP will be announced
in January or February of next year.
Hong Kong invested more than other country or region in the Chinese mainland
in the first half, followed by the British Virgin Islands. Japan ranked the
fifth, according to the contract investments. Japan¡¯s contract investments
totaled US$536 million in the six months, dropping 27.6 percent from a year
earlier and its direct investments totaled US$517 million, ranking third among
all countries and regions.
5. SMG Broadcasting Center: Thank you. My first question is about real
estate. About two million square meters of small apartments will be on the
market in the later half of this year, which should be a good thing for the
market. But we found many small apartments have been decorated by the developers
before selling for a higher price. For example, apartments in Olympic
residential area are 2,000-yuan more expensive than nearby apartments. Does the
city government have measures to prohibit such phenomenon? Another question is
about budget homes. About two-billion-yuan in housing funds will be invested in
the construction of budget homes. How much financial funds will be invested in
the project? It¡¯s hard to build homes for 100,000 people from the current 20,000
in budget homes by 2010 with two billion yuan. Another problem is about the
renovation of facilities of Metro lines. The Metro line operator insisted that
the passenger who was killed after being pinned between closed safety shields
and train doors was because of his irregular behavior. But why didn¡¯t staff
check whether passengers were crunched before the train set out? We want to know
how the renovation work is going on the facilities. Has the operator redesigned
the process on the trains¡¯setoff?
Jiao Yang£ºAbout the prices of small apartments, I suggest the reporter ask a
spokesperson or officials of the Shanghai Housing, Land and Resources
Administrative Bureau.
The State Council said in the Housing Fund Management Regulation that the
value-added income of housing funds should be deposited into a bank account
belonging to the housing fund management center, which will be used as mortgage
reserve, the center¡¯s management fee and subsidy funds for budge home
construction. So the housing fund can be used to set up budget homes, but it¡¯s
not the only source of capital. We can make a systematical introduction about
budget homes in the future. I can tell you that the public housing fund is not
the only capital source for budget home construction.
We felt regret about the accident on the Metro line. The reporter just said
the passenger¡¯s irregular behavior was only one reason for the accident. Safety
measures will be stepped up by technologies. The Metro operator is arranging
experts to study the shields with design companies and producers to map out a
renovation plan as soon as possible. Some of the safety shields at the station
have now been suspended from use. Trains will be required to stop longer at the
station, and drivers and platform staff must make sure that no commuter is
trapped between the train doors before restarting. Volunteers will help platform
staff evacuate passengers in crowded stations. Alert symbols will be added on
the shields to remind passengers. These measures are carried out before the
renovation is conducted. Media should help remind commuters of these rules to
maintain the safe operation of the subway. Authorities will learn from this
tragic accident to improve safety measures and protect passengers.
6. Phoenix£ºThank you. I¡¯m a reporter from Phoenix. I noticed that the
financial revenue grew fast in the first half of this year. How much did the six
leading industries contribute to the total revenue, especially the real estate
sector? Another question is about the foreign investment in Shanghai¡¯s real
estate market. What is the percentage of foreign investment in the property
market? The last question is how the city has handled its idle land since China
began its second land survey on July 7 to prevent land from going unused. Has
the local government mapped out detailed measures to punish developers who leave
land unused? Thanks.
Cai Xuchu£ºThose figures are not available. We classify these incomes in line
with tax items. We will tell you after obtaining the figures.
Jiao Yang: From January 2006 to June 2007, Shanghai approved 2,000 hectares
of land zoned for residential use. The city will carry out the following
measures after mapping out a three-year plan to regulate the city¡¯s property
market according to the city¡¯s economic development, land sources and approved
properties to enhance the control of the land supply; offering more lands for
the construction of lower-priced apartments and small apartments. About 1,000
hectares of land will be zoned for residential use in the later half of this
year; improving the clearance of unused land to promote the construction of new
residences.
I introduced the scrutiny on real estate companies in an earlier news
release. The city launched a campaign to implement a notice issued by eight
government departments under the State Council. The city¡¯s 10 departments --
property, construction, supervision, pricing, industrial, commercial, taxation,
audition and planning -- have issued a working plan to jointly conduct the
one-year campaign to regulate the real estate market. The campaign is conducted
in two aspects: checking and cracking developers who reserve properties for
speculation purposes, driving up housing prices on purpose, publishing illegal
advertisements and evading taxes; cracking illegal practices involved in
approvals of projects, plans, designs, constructions and presales. The campaign
has kicked off and we will check under-construction projects and pre-sold
properties. The 10 departments have launched a channel to receive public
complaints. The results will be announced later.
Cai Xuchu£ºThe Phoenix reporter just mentioned the foreign investments in the
real estate market. I have checked the figure. In the first half, foreign
contract investments in the real estate market totaled US$1.1 billion, dropping
41.2 percent from a year earlier. Foreign direct investments grew 57 percent to
US$890 million.
7. China Labor and Social Security News£ºI¡¯m a reporter of China Labor and
Social Security News. You just mentioned the employment policy will be further
implemented this year. Can you tell us the details of the policy? The city
created 443,000 new jobs in the first half. Which industries are these jobs
involved? The government creates many internship positions for young people
every year, but why does the number of participants keep dropping? Thanks.
Cai Xuchu£ºThe new jobs are mainly in the service sector and some are working
informally. I can tell you the detailed figures later. I can¡¯t tell you the
employment policy because I have no idea about it.
Jiao Yang£ºReporters can learn about the employment situation from the
Shanghai Labor & Social Security Bureau.
8. Youth Daily£ºThank you. I¡¯m a reporter from Youth Daily. I have questions
about two figures in the release. Shanghai¡¯s retail sales hit a decade high in
the first half of this year. Is it because of the growing prices or the growing
sales volume? The consumer price grew 1.8 percent in the six months in Shanghai,
while residents¡¯disposable income rose 14.7 percent, which means the income grew
at a much faster pace than the consumer price. But we didn¡¯t feel the big gap.
What are the government¡¯s measures to control prices? Has the macro-control been
effective? Thanks.
Cai Xuchu£ºYou doubted whether the surging prices drove up the retail sales to
grow 14.2 percent. Shanghai¡¯s consumer price grew 1.8 percent in the first half
of this year, which was mainly spurred by the food prices. The retail sales
include people¡¯s spending on food, clothes and other articles. The food price
may influence the retail sales most but not significantly. The fast growth of
retail sales was mainly due to the growing income, which triggered residents to
spend more money. Another important feature is the spending in suburban areas
began growing. In the first half, retail sales in suburban areas contributed 46
percent of the total retail sales in Shanghai. Spending on automobiles and
apartments also drove up retail sales, as well as construction materials and
home appliances. These new spotlights also contributed to the fast growth of the
city¡¯s retail sales.