With Election Day only some 24 hours away, both US presidential campaigns are
focusing on Ohio and Pennsylvania as the pivotal states, US media reported
yesterday.
Democratic presidential nominee Barack Obama and Republican vice presidential
choice Sarah Palin crisscrossed Ohio on Sunday, while Republican candidate John
McCain returned to Pennsylvania, the Los Angeles Times said.
The Washington Post said both campaigns expect a close finish in Ohio,
something of a paradox in a struggling state in a year in which the poor economy
is driving support for Obama and other Democrats.
Ohio lost 300,000 manufacturing jobs this decade and its median income has
dropped by 3 percent, yet polls show Obama with no more than a narrow lead in a
state that John F. Kerry lost to George W. Bush by two points in the last
presidential election.
The NBC said Obama is hoping for a win in Ohio, but not desperate for one.
The Democrat has spent more time in Ohio than any other state since winning
the nomination, but it is a state he does not necessarily have to win.
A loss in electoral-rich Ohio, and even one in Pennsylvania, could be offset
by wins in places like North Carolina, Virginia, and Indiana.
The Wall Street Journal quoted McCain campaign manager Rick Davis as saying
that Pennsylvania, won by Kerry in 2004, will be the most important state to
watch Tuesday.
FIGHT TO THE FINISH
Meanwhile, the Obama and McCain campaigns are intensifying their fight to the
end, including massive get-out-the-vote (GOTV) operations in more than a dozen
battleground states, millions of telephone calls, mailings and door-knockings.
The Wall Street Journal said the national and state Democratic parties are
spending far more heavily than Republicans on field operations, after years of
ceding the advantage in ground-level organizing to the Republican voter-turnout
machine.
Finance records show Democrats have hired five to 10 times more paid field
staff in swing states than the Republicans.
The Los Angeles Times said McCain has targeted a wealthy area just north of
Columbus as one of 15 counties in Ohio where he needs to drive up his vote tally
if he is to beat Obama on Tuesday in this must-win state.
But on Friday night, only nine volunteers manned the 24 phones in the McCain
campaign office.
In contrast, the Obama campaign has flooded the area with volunteers.
NO SIGN OF McCAIN SURGE
One day before the election, all national polls continue to show Obama
leading McCain in the race for the White House, even if the size of Obama's lead
continues to vary in the different surveys.
Media analyses of the polling data, however, strongly suggest Obama is poised
for a decisive victory in the election.
McClatchy Newspapers reported that the moods in the two camps were markedly
different as the campaign entered its final day, with McCain and his team
"defiant" while Obama and his surrogates "exuded confidence."
The Rasmussen Reports daily presidential tracking poll for November 2 showed
Obama leading McCain 51 to 46 percent.
The Gallup daily presidential tracking poll of 2,800 registered voters taken
Oct. 31-Nov. 2 shows Obama leading McCain 53 to 42 percent.
A Pew Research poll of 2587 likely voters taken Oct. 30-Nov. 2 shows Obama
leading 52 to 46 percent, while a CNN/Opinion Research poll of 714 likely voters
from Oct. 30-Nov. 1 shows Obama up seven points, 53 to 46 percent.
Meanwhile, the C-Span/Zogby daily presidential tracking poll of1,205 likely
voters taken Oct. 31-Nov. 2 shows Obama leading McCain 51 to 44 percent.
McCain has decided he will get to today by having a good time, the New York
Times reported.
His aides said he is relieved that the race is almost over and for the most
part out of his hands.
The Republican is also obsessed with polls that show the race tightening in
some battleground states and allow him hope that he might still have a shot.
Meanwhile, the newspaper said Obama's sober expression "seems at odds with
the confident gleam in the eyes of his advisers."